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FX Strategy Research Hub

Current FX strategy research highlights a resilient US Dollar (DXY) supported by a rebounding manufacturing sector and safe-haven demand, despite long-term projections of an initial dip to 96.3 before a year-end recovery to 100.0 in 2026. In Asia, the Japanese yen remains highly volatile, navigating intervention rumors and domestic election uncertainty, even as the Bank of Japan’s 2.2% CPI forecast signals an earlier path toward rate normalization. Regional stability is being anchored by the PBOC’s commitment to keeping USDCNY below 7.0000, which has provided a tailwind for the Singapore dollar and Malaysian ringgit. Meanwhile, the Indian rupee has benefited from strategic US tariff cuts, though the loss of discounted Russian oil poses potential medium-term risks to India's current account. Elsewhere, a dovish shift is emerging in Central and Eastern Europe and Thailand to address deflationary pressures, while Bank Indonesia maintains a restrictive stance to support its currency. Finally, heightened geopolitical risks in the Middle East and a correction in procyclical assets are reinforcing the dollar’s role as a primary hedge against global volatility.

128 reports available

Closing Short EUR/JPY Via A Put Spread

Crédit Agricole CIB·Jun 10, 2026

Crédit Agricole CIB is closing its short EUR/JPY put spread trade following an out-of-the-money expiry and a -2.0% loss. The strategy failed due to JPY weakness driven by energy-related terms of trade shocks.

Fast FX: Buy EUR/JPY

Crédit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank·Jun 1, 2026

Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model has entered a long EUR/JPY position targeting 189.71, citing a Z-score undervaluation of 1.5 standard deviations. The trade is driven by movements in peripheral Eurozone bond spreads and relative equity market performance.

Fast Fx Fair Value Model Buy Eur Jpy

Crédit Agricole CIB·Jun 2, 2026

Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model initiates a long EUR/JPY position this week as the pair is significantly undervalued by over 1.5 standard deviations relative to its calculated fair value of 189.71.

Fast FX Fair Value Model Buy EUR JPY

Crédit Agricole CIB·Jun 1, 2026

Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model recommends buying EUR/JPY as the pair is currently over 1.5 standard deviations undervalued relative to its fair value of 189.71. The trade features a take-profit at fair value and a -1.49% stop-loss.

FX Watch: Keep EURUSD Shorts This Summer

Bank of America·Jun 10, 2026

BofA maintains a bearish outlook on EURUSD, recommending short positions via put spreads. Technicals and fundamentals both point to further downside, mirroring trends from 2018.

Fast FX Fair Value Model: EUR/JPY Undervalued

Crédit Agricole CIB·May 28, 2026

Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model identifies EUR/JPY as significantly undervalued by 2.20%, though no new trades are triggered this week due to the London bank holiday.

FX Radar: G10 Technical Drivers Update

SEB·Jun 2, 2026

Closing Short NOK/SEK Trade for Profit

Crédit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank·May 25, 2026

FX Daily: Markets Reluctant to Price in More JPY Interventions

ING·Jun 2, 2026

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