Crédit Agricole CIB
June 1, 2026
Fast FX Fair Value Model Buy EUR JPY
FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsEquitiesOther
Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model recommends buying EUR/JPY as the pair is currently over 1.5 standard deviations undervalued relative to its fair value of 189.71. The trade features a take-profit at fair value and a -1.49% stop-loss.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The FAST FX model has triggered a long EUR/JPY trade due to the pair being more than 1.5 standard deviations undervalued.
- 2.EUR/JPY fair value increased to 189.71, driven by falling peripheral EGB yield spreads and Japanese stock outperformance relative to the Eurozone.
- 3.While EUR/NOK and EUR/SEK are also showing signs of undervaluation, they have not triggered buy trades due to insufficient aggression or model instability.
Table of Contents
- Buy EUR/JPY
- Related publications
- New trades this week
- FAST FX fair value summary
- Short-term fair value charts
- t-statistic charts
- Historical trade performance
- FX Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
- Certification
- Valuation and methodology
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester
Securities
EURJPYEURNOKEURSEKNOKSEK
Themes
Quantitative FX StrategiesMean ReversionCross-Asset Valuation Drivers
Regions
EuropeAsia PacificJapanNorwaySweden
