The CAD has remained range-bound against the USD as market participants weigh domestic macro data against widening interest rate spreads. Analysts expect USD/CAD to remain elevated through summer before targeting 1.35 by year-end.
Key Takeaways
- 1.USD/CAD is expected to hold near the 1.40 upper bound through the summer before targeting 1.35 towards year-end.
- 2.The widening of short-term USD-CAD rate spreads is likely nearing exhaustion, which should help stabilize the exchange rate.
- 3.Risks related to the USMCA review have been pushed to next year, removing a near-term volatility catalyst for the CAD.
Table of Contents
- CAD: when the world watches
- Not much fervour yet
- Extra time needed
- BoC vs Fed: anyone aiming too high?
- Conclusion
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Authors
Alexandre Dolci
Securities
USD/CAD
Themes
USMCA ReviewMonetary Policy DivergenceRealized FX Volatility
Regions
North AmericaCanadaUnited StatesMexico
