CAD: When The World Watches

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The CAD has remained range-bound against the USD as market participants weigh domestic macro data against widening interest rate spreads. Analysts expect USD/CAD to remain elevated through summer before targeting 1.35 by year-end.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.USD/CAD is expected to hold near the 1.40 upper bound through the summer before targeting 1.35 towards year-end.
  • 2.The widening of short-term USD-CAD rate spreads is likely nearing exhaustion, which should help stabilize the exchange rate.
  • 3.Risks related to the USMCA review have been pushed to next year, removing a near-term volatility catalyst for the CAD.

Table of Contents

  • CAD: when the world watches
  • Not much fervour yet
  • Extra time needed
  • BoC vs Fed: anyone aiming too high?
  • Conclusion

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