Interest Rates Daily

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Crédit Agricole maintains a steepener preference ahead of the ECB meeting, anticipating a 25bp hike. The report reviews YTD EGB issuance and offers initial supply projections for 2027.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Maintaining preference for steepeners ahead of ECB meeting; base case is 25bp hike.
  • 2.YTD EGB issuance pace is led by France and Spain (>60%), while Germany lags (<50%).
  • 3.First look at 2027 German and Italian supply figures provided.

Table of Contents

  • Supply shock?
  • Recent publications
  • Upcoming data highlights
  • EUR Rates Dashboard
  • USD Rates Dashboard
  • Interest Rates Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics

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Authors

Riccardo LamiaAlex LiJean-François PerrinGuillaume MartinMatthias Loise

Securities

BTP 3.00% 09/29T 5.00% 05/56

Themes

ECB Policy ExpectationsSovereign Debt Issuance

Regions

EuropeGermanyFranceSpain