Region

Middle East Research Reports & Market Analysis

Finvaulta tracks 2416 research reports on the Middle East, updated through October 7, 2026. Latest: Macro at a Glance: Latest Views and Forecasts.

Institutional research on the Middle East covering commodities, government bonds, equities, and macro, from Goldman Sachs, UBS, J.P. Morgan, and MUFG. Finvaulta indexes each report with a summary, key figures and its original publication date.

Finvaulta is an independent research collection; views and forecasts belong to the named report issuers.

Latest research

Macro at a Glance: Latest Views and Forecasts

Goldman Sachs·Oct 7, 2026

Goldman Sachs leaves its macro forecasts unchanged this week, anticipating 2026 global GDP growth of 2.6% and US growth of 2.3% supported by AI tailwinds. Both the Fed and ECB are projected to conclude rate hikes with single 25bp moves in December to reach terminal rates of 4.00–4.25% and 2.75%, respectively.

Compare with the previous edition (Sep 17, 2026)

Updating Large Caps: Highlight BKR, FTI as Stocks with Most Positive 2027 Consensus Revisions Amid Macro Uncertainty

Goldman Sachs·Oct 7, 2026

Ahead of 3Q earnings season, Goldman Sachs updates estimates across large-cap oilfield services, highlighting a relative preference for BKR and FTI due to defensive business models and 2027 consensus upside. Estimates for SLB are tempered by ongoing Middle East disruptions, while HAL maintains leverage to North American completions and Latin American activity.

Türkiye: Forecasting a Break in the TCMB's Reaction Function, Though with Little Confidence

Goldman Sachs·Oct 7, 2026

Goldman Sachs expects the TCMB to keep policy rates on hold at its October 22 meeting and through year-end 2026, defying market consensus pricing of 100-150bp of cuts. However, conviction is low given increasingly dovish central bank communication despite accelerated reserve drain and sticky inflation.

Compare with the previous edition (Sep 7, 2026)

Emerging Markets Morning Pulse

Bank J. Safra Sarasin·Oct 6, 2026

Emerging market credit traded mixed to steadier, resilient against higher US Treasury yields with the 10-year reaching 5.32%. Brazil was the premier outperformer following election results, with sovereign spreads narrowing 16–18 bps and corporates advancing 1–3 points.

Compare with the previous edition (Aug 28, 2026)

Inside Commodities

London Stock Exchange Group·Oct 6, 2026

Inside Commodities provides daily updates across energy, agriculture, metals, power, and freight markets amid significant geopolitical stress. Key developments include prolonged Middle East disruptions supporting oil near $100/bbl, Indian probes into soybean tariff evasion, gold maintaining safe-haven strength above $4,000/oz, and ongoing shipping delays through Black Sea/Danube river routes.

Compare with the previous edition (Sep 30, 2026)

Where Are Saudi Arabia and UAE Economies Standing After Seven Months into the Iran War?

Natixis Corporate and Investment Banking·Oct 6, 2026

Seven months into the regional conflict, Saudi Arabia's economy contracted 4.7% yoy in Q2 2026 due to oil cuts and weak domestic momentum, with 2026 GDP risking zero growth. In contrast, the UAE demonstrated stronger resilience with 3.0% yoy Q1 growth, supported by financial sector expansion, traffic normalization, and a $30bn logistics push.

Selected research

Selected for relevance; publication dates show when each report was written.

Middle East Daily

MUFG·Oct 6, 2026

Brent crude stabilized near USD 101/b as Kuwaiti output restored to 75% of pre-war capacity amid recovering Strait of Hormuz transit. Meanwhile, Turkish annual inflation dropped to 29.7% in September, widening real rates and spurring market pricing for CBRT monetary easing.

The Commodities Feed: Oil Supported by Geopolitical Risks Despite Supply Gains

ING·Oct 6, 2026

Geopolitical risks in the Persian Gulf keep ICE Brent supported near $100/bbl despite signs of improving regional supply. Elsewhere, European gas storage levels remain low ahead of winter, copper gains on physical tightness, and sugar rallies on weather-induced global deficit fears.

What Are the Biggest Market Dislocations?

Deutsche Bank·Oct 5, 2026

Deutsche Bank highlights a growing dislocation where bond markets are pricing acute macro stress, fiscal risks, and sovereign contagion, while global equities and credit spreads remain remarkably complacent near record highs. Because above-target inflation restricts central bank easing, this divide is unsustainable and risk assets are vulnerable to mounting pressure.

Saudi Arabia Banks: Loan Growth Remains Strong, Funding Pressures Persist

Goldman Sachs·Oct 1, 2026

The Saudi Central Bank's August 2026 bulletin shows resilient banking loan growth of 7% yoy (+0.9% mom) led by corporate lending, though deposits fell 1.1% mom, driving the sector loan-to-deposit ratio to 112%. Funding pressures remain elevated with SAIBOR 3M rising to 5.54%, favoring Buy-rated banks with superior deposit franchises including SNB, Riyad Bank, Al Rajhi, and SAB.

Asian Banks' Loans to the GCC: From Fast Lane to Hard Stop

Natixis Corporate and Investment Banking·Sep 29, 2026

Asian bank lending to the GCC has ground to a near standstill in 2026, reaching only 26% of 2025 total volumes as conflict and risk aversion take hold. GCC funding costs have remained relatively insulated so far as Saudi megaproject scale-backs and lower oil output have suppressed credit demand.

Adaptation: Persian Gulf Exports Return to 2025 Level

Goldman Sachs·Sep 29, 2026

Persian Gulf oil exports have rebounded to 23.3 mb/d, returning to their 2025 average as crude shipments surged to 19 mb/d, driven by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Despite ongoing geopolitical risk premia and refined product constraints, Goldman Sachs expects Brent crude to moderate to $85/bbl by year-end 2026 and $80/bbl in 2027.