Report Type
Macro Thematic Research Hub
Current macro thematic research highlights a significant divergence in global monetary policy paths and the impact of political shifts on fiscal trajectories. In Japan, the projected snap election victory for the LDP is expected to catalyze 'Abenomics'-style stimulus, while the Bank of Japan focuses on underlying inflation trends near 2% to justify continued policy normalization and rate hikes. This Japanese monetary shift is further complicated by yen depreciation, with USD/JPY levels near 160 potentially necessitating official intervention or accelerated tightening to manage cost-of-living pressures. Conversely, Colombia’s central bank maintains a hawkish posture, raising terminal rate projections toward 11.25% in response to a 23% minimum wage hike and a positive output gap. In contrast to these tightening cycles, Ghana has entered an easing phase following a sharp decline in core inflation to 3.8%, supported by a strong balance of payments. Finally, while emerging markets like Indonesia show resilient domestic momentum with 5.39% GDP growth, cooling natural resource sectors suggest that commodity-driven export headwinds may become a primary theme for the coming year.
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What's Top of Mind in Macro Research
Goldman Sachs projects a more hawkish path for the Fed, delaying rate cuts to late 2027, while maintaining an optimistic outlook for the AI-driven equity bull market. Simultaneously, the firm expects persistent oil supply disruptions from the Iran conflict to last into late August.
Global Thematics: Thematics Plus Mathematics
This report explores the underlying mathematics of key 2026 investment themes, particularly within the AI infrastructure, compute, and energy sectors. It highlights quantitative drivers of alpha in token economics, data center valuation, and thematic volatility strategies.
Goal Asset Allocation Balancing Micro Tailwinds And Macro Headwinds
This report outlines a balanced tactical strategy amid macro headwinds and micro tailwinds. It highlights late-cycle risks, elevated equity valuations, and a shift towards reflationary pricing.
Japan Q&A Consumption Tax Cut Proposal
The Japanese administration is moving to cut the consumption tax on food to 1% next April as part of a three-year economic support package. This strategy seeks to sustain domestic demand while the economy transitions toward long-term wage growth driven by strategic investment.
Japan Ueda Ahead Of The Curve
Crédit Agricole CIB analyzes the BoJ's recent interest rate hike, arguing it is premature given current economic fundamentals. The report expects an economic slowdown in the near term followed by a recovery in 2028.
Global Economic Indicators Update
This report provides an update on Goldman Sachs' proprietary global economic indicators, highlighting the drop in US trimmed core CPI inflation to ~2%. It also tracks financial conditions, activity indicators, and wage growth trends across major economies.
What's Top of Mind in Macro Research
The Post Modern Cycle Navigating the Capex Boom
The World Cup and Economics
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What's Top of Mind in Macro Research
Goldman Sachs · Jun 12, 2026
Global Thematics: Thematics Plus Mathematics
Morgan Stanley · Jun 11, 2026
Goal Asset Allocation Balancing Micro Tailwinds And Macro Headwinds
Goldman Sachs · Jun 14, 2026
Japan Q&A Consumption Tax Cut Proposal
Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank · Jun 5, 2026
Japan Ueda Ahead Of The Curve
Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank · Jun 16, 2026
Global Economic Indicators Update
Goldman Sachs · Jun 15, 2026
What's Top of Mind in Macro Research
Goldman Sachs · May 28, 2026
The Post Modern Cycle Navigating the Capex Boom
Goldman Sachs · Jun 16, 2026
The World Cup and Economics
Goldman Sachs · Jun 14, 2026
The Post Modern Cycle Navigating The Capex Boom
Goldman Sachs · Jun 16, 2026
FOMC Roundtable
Goldman Sachs · Jun 16, 2026
FOMC Roundtable
Goldman Sachs · Jun 16, 2026
India: A More Favourable Balance of Payments Outlook
Goldman Sachs · Jun 14, 2026
Euro Area Sovereign Credit Monitor
Goldman Sachs · Jun 12, 2026
Megatrends
Deutsche Bank · Jun 5, 2026
EM Asia FX and Rates Views
Goldman Sachs · Jun 12, 2026
ECB Focus
Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank · Jun 12, 2026
Money Can't Buy You The World Cup
Deutsche Bank · Jun 12, 2026
The Impact of the World Cup on the US Economy
Goldman Sachs · Jun 9, 2026
What's Top of Mind in Macro Research
Goldman Sachs · May 21, 2026
Germany Factory Orders and Industrial Turnover
Goldman Sachs · Jun 8, 2026
Cost of China's Retail Fuel Price Management Modest and Sustainable
Goldman Sachs · Jun 5, 2026
India Q1 Real GDP Growth Beats Expectation
Goldman Sachs · Jun 6, 2026
India: Managing External Financing Needs
Goldman Sachs · Jun 5, 2026