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Foreign Exchange (FX) Research Hub

Global currency markets are currently characterized by a broadly stronger US Dollar, which is reclaiming its safe-haven status amid tech-sector volatility and resilient domestic services data showing persistent price pressures. In Japan, the Bank of Japan is increasingly focused on underlying trend inflation reaching 2%, yet the Yen continues to face significant pressure with USD/JPY projected to test the 160-162 range. This weakness persists despite expectations for policy normalization and rate hikes, potentially necessitating sustained intervention from Tokyo officials following the February snap election. In Europe, the British Pound is facing tactical short positions as analysts anticipate the Bank of England will eventually cut rates toward a 3% terminal rate, far exceeding current market pricing. Meanwhile, the Euro remains under technical pressure, with EUR/USD undergoing a pullback despite pockets of resilience in German industrial orders and an improving Eurozone growth outlook supported by increased defense spending. Overall, FX volatility is being driven by diverging central bank paths and a delay in US labor data, keeping market attention fixed on upcoming rate decisions and geopolitical shifts.

1346 reports available

USD The Art Of The Deal thumbnail

USD The Art Of The Deal

Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank·Jun 15, 2026

The report analyzes the market impact of a US-Iran peace deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz, which has pressured the USD and oil prices. It also discusses upcoming central bank meetings, specifically the BoJ and RBA, amidst high geopolitical uncertainty.

FX Daily thumbnail

FX Daily

Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank·Jun 9, 2026

The report highlights the continued resilience of the USD as a safe-haven and high-yielding currency driven by the 'USD smile'. Meanwhile, Australia faces weakening consumer confidence and growing political uncertainty that could impact the RBA's policy path.

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FX Positioning Update

Crédit Agricole CIB·Jun 8, 2026

The report provides a weekly update on G10 FX positioning using the PIX 3.0 model. USD has emerged as the largest long, while the model remains neutral without new trades.

FX Focus thumbnail

FX Focus

Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank·Jun 16, 2026

Crédit Agricole maintains a bearish outlook on EUR/USD, forecasting continued pressure due to rate spreads and growth divergence despite a minor near-term upward forecast revision.

Fast FX: Closing Long EUR/JPY Trade thumbnail

Fast FX: Closing Long EUR/JPY Trade

Crédit Agricole CIB·Jun 9, 2026

Crédit Agricole CIB reports the closure of a long EUR/JPY trade initiated on June 1, 2026, which resulted in a -0.63% loss. This follows the firm's systematic FAST FX strategy.

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Closing Short EUR/JPY Via A Put Spread

Crédit Agricole CIB·Jun 10, 2026

Crédit Agricole CIB is closing its short EUR/JPY put spread trade following an out-of-the-money expiry and a -2.0% loss. The strategy failed due to JPY weakness driven by energy-related terms of trade shocks.

Closing Short EUR JPY Via A Put Spread

Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank·Jun 9, 2026

EUR: ECB to the Rescue

Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank·Jun 11, 2026

Investors' Resilient Risk Sentiment

Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank·Jun 10, 2026

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