Fast FX Fair Value Model Still Selling NOK SEK

FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsEquitiesOther

Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model initiates a new short position in NOK/SEK at 1.0151, targeting a fair value of 1.0003. Other pairs like EUR/SEK and EUR/GBP show overvaluation but lack sufficient signals for a trade entry under current 'unstable' model regimes.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The FAST FX model has triggered a new short NOK/SEK trade due to persistent overvaluation, with a fair value estimate of 1.0003.
  • 2.The previous NOK/SEK short trade was stopped out for a loss of -1.21% last week.
  • 3.EUR/SEK and EUR/GBP models are currently unstable; both pairs show overvaluation but haven't reached the 2-standard-deviation sell trigger required for secondary models.

Table of Contents

  • Still selling NOK/SEK
  • Short-term fair value charts
  • t-statistic charts
  • Historical trade performance
  • FX Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics
  • Global Markets Research contact details
  • Certification
  • Valuation and methodology
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester

Securities

NOKSEKEURSEKEURGBPUSDJPY

Themes

Quantitative FX Fair Value ModelingCross-Asset Model Drivers (Rates & Equities)

Regions

EuropeUKAsia PacificNorwaySwedenJapan