Fast Fx Fair Value Model Buy Eur Jpy

FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsEquitiesFinancials

Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model initiates a long EUR/JPY position this week as the pair is significantly undervalued by over 1.5 standard deviations relative to its calculated fair value of 189.71.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The FAST FX model has triggered a new long trade for EUR/JPY as it has become more than 1.5 standard deviations undervalued.
  • 2.EUR/JPY's fair value has risen to 189.71, driven by narrowing peripheral European bond spreads and Japanese equity outperformance.
  • 3.Model performance has been challenging, with a 12-month rolling return of -4.06% and a hit rate of 44%.

Table of Contents

  • Buy EUR/JPY
  • Related publications
  • New trades this week
  • FAST FX fair value summary
  • Short-term fair value charts
  • t-statistic charts
  • Historical trade performance
  • FX Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics
  • Global Markets Research contact details
  • Certification
  • Valuation and methodology
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester

Securities

EURJPYEURNOKEURSEKEURUSD

Themes

FX Quantitative Fair ValueCross-Asset Valuation DriversMean Reversion Strategy

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificNorth AmericaJapanNorwaySweden