Crédit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank
June 1, 2026
Fast FX: Buy EUR/JPY
FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsEquitiesOther
Crédit Agricole's FAST FX model has entered a long EUR/JPY position targeting 189.71, citing a Z-score undervaluation of 1.5 standard deviations. The trade is driven by movements in peripheral Eurozone bond spreads and relative equity market performance.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The FAST FX model has initiated a long EUR/JPY trade due to a significant undervaluation relative to its rising fair value.
- 2.The fair value for EUR/JPY has increased to 189.71, driven by narrowing peripheral European bond spreads and Japanese equity underperformance relative to Eurozone stocks.
- 3.The trade has a defined take-profit target of 189.71 and a stop-loss of -1.49%, with a scheduled exit by June 5, 2026.
Table of Contents
- FAST FX: buy EUR/JPY
- Related publications
- New trades this week
- FX under/overvaluation – Z-scores
- FAST FX fair value summary
- Historical trade performance
- Historical trades
- Portfolio performance
- FX Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Our new interactive data website features
- Global Markets Research contact details
- Certification
- Foreign exchange disclosure statement to clients of CACIB
- Additional recommendation obligations
- Valuation and methodology
- MiFID II contact details
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester
Securities
EURJPYEURUSDUSDJPY
Themes
FX Mean ReversionQuantitative FX Modeling
Regions
EuropeAsia PacificJapanGermany
