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Morgan Stanley's research underscores a transformative era for physical AI and infrastructure, projecting a $25 trillion robot revenue market by 2050 as tech giants deploy data probes to overcome Moravec’s Paradox. This shift is supported by a massive expansion in US hyperscaler capex, which is expected to nearly double to $805 billion by 2026, driving US GDP growth to 2.3% and S&P 500 earnings growth to 23%. However, this expansion comes with significant supply chain costs; the new Vera Rubin (VR200) AI rack is priced at nearly $7.8 million, fueled by triple-digit price surges in memory (+435%) and PCBs (+233%). While the firm remains overweight on US equities due to resilient growth and a 38% year-over-year increase in corporate capex plans, it highlights inflation risks to bond markets if strategic spending remains inelastic. Geopolitical volatility in the Strait of Hormuz continues to disrupt tanker traffic and energy markets, adding a layer of uncertainty to the global outlook. Conversely, the UK labour market shows signs of cooling, with the jobless rate rising to 5% and pay growth subsiding to 3.04%, which may allow for future central bank flexibility despite downside risks to regional growth.
40 reports available
AI Debt Financing Tracker
This report monitors the rapid expansion of AI-related debt financing, driven by hyperscaler capital expenditure and data center construction. Global supply is projected to reach $570bn in 2026, marking a significant acceleration over previous years.
Eha 2026 Takeaways
This report summarizes key data readouts from the EHA 2026 conference for Disc Medicine and BeOne Medicines. Results highlight robust efficacy for novel therapies in hematologic disorders and malignancies.
Global Thematics: Thematics Plus Mathematics
This report explores the underlying mathematics of key 2026 investment themes, particularly within the AI infrastructure, compute, and energy sectors. It highlights quantitative drivers of alpha in token economics, data center valuation, and thematic volatility strategies.
The Convergence of AI and Energy Financing
The report highlights that power constraints and structural bottlenecks are forcing a convergence between AI infrastructure and energy financing. This shift suggests a more capital-intensive and sequential build-out phase for AI capacity.
US Economics: Unemployment Rate and Labor Supply
Morgan Stanley maintains a 50k monthly payroll 'breakeven' estimate to keep US unemployment stable. Recent labor market dynamics suggest that while payroll growth above this level creates downward pressure on unemployment, rising prime-age labor force participation acts as a key mitigating factor.
The Viewpoint: Why Boosting India's Manufacturing Is More Important Than Ever
India is pivoting toward a manufacturing-led growth strategy to address structural balance-of-payments pressures and a burgeoning jobs challenge. This shift is becoming increasingly critical as AI threatens the growth prospects of India's traditional services export sector.
AI Ecosystem Charting Recent Trends
Global Economic Briefing: North America Trade From Rules to Discretion From Autos to AI
US Equity Strategy Weekly Warm-up A Healthy Reset
All reports
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AI Debt Financing Tracker
Morgan Stanley · Jun 11, 2026
Eha 2026 Takeaways
Morgan Stanley · Jun 13, 2026
Global Thematics: Thematics Plus Mathematics
Morgan Stanley · Jun 11, 2026
The Convergence of AI and Energy Financing
Morgan Stanley · Jun 14, 2026
US Economics: Unemployment Rate and Labor Supply
Morgan Stanley · Jun 11, 2026
The Viewpoint: Why Boosting India's Manufacturing Is More Important Than Ever
Morgan Stanley · Jun 9, 2026
AI Ecosystem Charting Recent Trends
Morgan Stanley · Jun 11, 2026
Global Economic Briefing: North America Trade From Rules to Discretion From Autos to AI
Morgan Stanley · Jun 8, 2026
US Equity Strategy Weekly Warm-up A Healthy Reset
Morgan Stanley · Jun 8, 2026
What's Next in Global Macro Chipflation
Morgan Stanley · Jun 7, 2026
Chipflation Navigating A Memory Crisis
Morgan Stanley · Jun 2, 2026
Chipflation Navigating A Memory Crisis
Morgan Stanley · Jun 7, 2026
Asia's Investment Super-Cycle and Competitive Reinvention
Morgan Stanley · May 18, 2026
MS Capex Tracker: Stronger and Broader Exiting Q1 Earnings
Morgan Stanley · May 18, 2026
Strait of Hormuz Daily Tracker
Morgan Stanley · May 19, 2026
Australia Macro Mid-Year Outlook
Morgan Stanley · May 18, 2026
Weekly Warm-up Thoughts from the Road
Morgan Stanley · May 18, 2026
Global Strategy Mid-Year Outlook
Morgan Stanley · May 17, 2026
China Equity Strategy: Forging New Horizons
Morgan Stanley · May 18, 2026
Constructive and Cautious Global Macro Outlook
Morgan Stanley · May 17, 2026
Earnings Season Monitor: A Strong Season
Morgan Stanley · May 18, 2026
US Economics Mid-Year Outlook
Morgan Stanley · May 17, 2026
Weekly Hedge Fund Highlights
Morgan Stanley · Jun 8, 2026
June MPM Preview: BoJ Set to Raise Rates to 1.0 Percent
Morgan Stanley · Jun 8, 2026