Morgan Stanley
June 9, 2026
The Viewpoint: Why Boosting India's Manufacturing Is More Important Than Ever
Macro ThematicRates Govt BondsEnergy
India is pivoting toward a manufacturing-led growth strategy to address structural balance-of-payments pressures and a burgeoning jobs challenge. This shift is becoming increasingly critical as AI threatens the growth prospects of India's traditional services export sector.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Recent policy measures should augment capital flows in the near term.
- 2.India faces a medium-term funding challenge necessitating a rise in sustainable domestic savings.
- 3.Boosting manufacturing and goods export competitiveness is critical to narrowing the current account deficit and attracting capital.
Table of Contents
- Key Takeaways
- How to solve India’s medium-term funding challenge
- Why is the balance of payments under pressure?
- What explains the capital outflows?
- How to solve India's balance of payments deficit problem?
- The medium-term solution: Boosting manufacturing and exports
- What India needs – A systematic policy approach
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Authors
Chetan AhyaDerrick Y KamJonathan CheungKelly WangSudhanshu Agarwal
Securities
BSE500
Themes
Manufacturing competitivenessAI DisruptionBalance of Payments
Regions
Asia PacificChina
