Crédit Agricole CIB
May 11, 2026
FX Daily: USD - No Reason to Smile
Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergy
The report highlights limited USD downside due to US-Iran tensions and upcoming NFP data, while noting that Japan's MoF may intervene if USD/JPY exceeds 157.
Key Takeaways
- 1.USD downside is likely limited by lingering geopolitical risks in the Middle East and expectations of a restrictive Fed policy stance.
- 2.Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) has established a 'line in the sand' for USD/JPY at 157, with further intervention likely if that level is breached.
- 3.Markets are awaiting the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for April, with a consensus expectation of a significant slowdown to 65k.
Table of Contents
- Asia overnight
- USD: no reason to smile
- JPY: BoJ and MoF's fight getting a little easier
- CAD: harder work
- Introducing RMA!
- Open trade recommendations
- Key events
- FX Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci
Securities
USDJPYEURJPYUSDCADES
Themes
Geopolitical Conflict SpilloversCentral Bank Intervention Policy
Regions
North AmericaAsia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesJapanIran
