FX Daily: USD - No Reason to Smile

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The report highlights limited USD downside due to US-Iran tensions and upcoming NFP data, while noting that Japan's MoF may intervene if USD/JPY exceeds 157.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.USD downside is likely limited by lingering geopolitical risks in the Middle East and expectations of a restrictive Fed policy stance.
  • 2.Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) has established a 'line in the sand' for USD/JPY at 157, with further intervention likely if that level is breached.
  • 3.Markets are awaiting the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for April, with a consensus expectation of a significant slowdown to 65k.

Table of Contents

  • Asia overnight
  • USD: no reason to smile
  • JPY: BoJ and MoF's fight getting a little easier
  • CAD: harder work
  • Introducing RMA!
  • Open trade recommendations
  • Key events
  • FX Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics
  • Global Markets Research contact details

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci

Securities

USDJPYEURJPYUSDCADES

Themes

Geopolitical Conflict SpilloversCentral Bank Intervention Policy

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesJapanIran