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Crédit Agricole CIB

February 2, 2026

Adding Sell AUD/USD to Buy EUR/SEK

FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsOther

Crédit Agricole CIB's FAST FX model has triggered new signals to sell AUD/USD and buy EUR/SEK based on fair value overvaluation and undervaluation respectively.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The FAST FX model has initiated a short AUD/USD trade and maintained a long EUR/SEK trade due to significant deviations from fair value.
  • 2.AUD/USD is more than 1.5 standard deviations overvalued, triggering a sell with a take-profit level of 0.6783.
  • 3.EUR/SEK remains more than 1.5 standard deviations undervalued, leading the model to trigger another long position with a take-profit level of 10.9212.

Table of Contents

  • Adding sell AUD/USD to buy EUR/SEK
  • Related publications
  • New trades this week
  • FAST FX fair value summary
  • Short-term fair value charts
  • t-statistic charts
  • Historical trade performance
  • Global Markets Research contact details
  • Certification
  • Foreign exchange disclosure statement to clients of CACIB
  • Additional recommendation obligations
  • Valuation and methodology
  • MiFID II contact details
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester

Securities

AUDUSDEURSEKEURGBP

Themes

Quantitative FX Fair Value ModelingStatistical Mean Reversion

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificNorth AmericaAustraliaUnited StatesSweden