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Natixis research highlights a global market environment currently defined by bullish momentum and geopolitical volatility, particularly regarding US-Iran diplomatic progress. A significant pullback in Brent crude prices—dropping below $100/bl—has provided temporary relief to equities and high-beta credit, though markets remain sensitive to ongoing 'headline roulette.' Despite recent record highs in the S&P 500, persistent Eurozone inflation and hawkish FOMC signals keep bond yields elevated, with the 10-year Bund hovering between 3% and 3.15%. The AI growth narrative remains a core driver for the technology sector, evidenced by massive revenue beats from Nvidia and substantial gains for firms like Dell, though global trade shifts toward US-China bilateralism threaten European semiconductor supply chains. Within the corporate landscape, weakening credit metrics in European real estate are juxtaposed against strong recovery in automotive electric vehicle penetration, which has reached a record 20.6%. Overall, investors are navigating a cautious outlook characterized by stagnant Chinese manufacturing and the anticipation of critical central bank commentary and US employment data.

29 reports available

ECB June Meeting Post-View: A Prudent Tightening thumbnail

ECB June Meeting Post-View: A Prudent Tightening

Natixis·Jun 11, 2026

The ECB implemented a widely expected 25 basis point rate hike in a unanimous decision, accompanied by updated projections reflecting higher inflation and lower growth. The tone remains cautious and data-dependent, with potential for further hikes contingent on geopolitical and energy market developments.

ECB Preview: A Precautionary Hike thumbnail

ECB Preview: A Precautionary Hike

Natixis·Jun 8, 2026

Natixis anticipates a 25 basis point rate hike by the ECB on June 11, 2026. This move is presented as a precautionary effort to anchor inflation expectations rather than the beginning of an aggressive hiking cycle.

Fomc Preview Warsh and Wait thumbnail

Fomc Preview Warsh and Wait

Natixis·Jun 11, 2026

Natixis expects the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady at 3.75% and remove the easing bias during the June 17 FOMC meeting. The report highlights uncertainty under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and a data-dependent approach to lingering inflationary pressures.

Middle East Weekly Tracker thumbnail

Middle East Weekly Tracker

Natixis·Jun 9, 2026

This report monitors the shifting geopolitical landscape in the Middle East, highlighting stalled Iran deal negotiations and renewed Israel-Iran military activity. These tensions have driven increased volatility in crude oil prices, equity markets, and regional CDS spreads.

US Macro Snapshot May CPI Preview thumbnail

US Macro Snapshot May CPI Preview

Natixis·Jun 8, 2026

Natixis forecasts May core CPI to rise 0.24% m/m, reaching a 2.9% year-on-year increase. Inflation remains elevated due to energy price pressures linked to the ongoing war in Iran.

EMEA Macro Snapshot thumbnail

EMEA Macro Snapshot

Natixis·Jun 6, 2026

The Euro area's GDP contracted by 0.2% in Q1 2026, a figure heavily distorted by a 12.1% plunge in Irish GDP. Excluding this idiosyncratic volatility, the broader region maintained a positive growth trajectory of 0.4%.

May Jobs Recap

Natixis·Jun 6, 2026

RBA Monitor: Status Quo in June

Natixis·Jun 11, 2026

USMCA Break-Up: An Underrated Risk

Natixis·Jun 6, 2026

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