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Natixis

May 28, 2026

Between Hopes for Peace and Economic Realities

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyUtilities

Global markets are rallying on hopes of US-Iran de-escalation, though high inflation in Europe keeps the ECB on a hawkish path toward a June rate hike.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global markets are bullish on perceived US-Iran de-escalation, driving equity indices like the S&P 500 to new all-time highs.
  • 2.The ECB is preparing for a potential interest rate hike in June due to persistent energy-driven inflationary pressures.
  • 3.USD/JPY has reached a May high of 159.38, while BOJ officials suggest rate hikes will depend on Middle East conflict impacts.

Table of Contents

  • MARKET LINES
  • Rates
  • FX
  • Equities
  • Credit
  • HIGHLIGHTS
  • DAY AHEAD
  • MARKET RECAP
  • INDUSTRY NEWS
  • Transportation & Mobility
  • RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS
  • RESEARCH LATEST FORECASTS
  • RESEARCH EVENTS

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Authors

Natixis CIB Research Team

Securities

SPX10-year BundOrsted 1.5% c31USDJPY

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalation HopesMonetary Policy DivergenceEnergy Driven Inflation

Regions

EuropeNorth AmericaAsia PacificUnited StatesJapanAustralia