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June 23, 2026

FX Daily: Focus Remains on Yen and Sterling

Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsOther

This report examines currency market movements driven by US dollar strength, potential Japanese Yen intervention, and political leadership changes in the UK. Analysts also highlight a dovish turn from the ECB and rate-cutting expectations in Hungary.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The options market is pricing in a higher probability of Japanese Yen (JPY) intervention following signals from the US-Japan finance ministers meeting.
  • 2.Sterling rallied on political optimism regarding the potential appointment of Wes Streeting as the UK's next Chancellor.
  • 3.The US Dollar remains supported by a divergence in growth, inflation, and monetary policy compared to the Eurozone.

Table of Contents

  • USD: Some upside risks persist
  • EUR: Lagarde’s dovish tilt softens euro
  • GBP: Growing bets Streeting will be next chancellor
  • HUF: NBH easing restart unlikely to derail forint resilience

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Authors

Francesco PesoleFrantisek TaborskyChris Turner

Securities

USDJPYEURGBPEURHUF

Themes

Central bank policy divergencePolitical transition riskCurrency intervention

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesJapanUnited Kingdom