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ING Bank N.V.

June 23, 2026

Rates Spark: Gilts Don’t Like Political Uncertainty

Rates StrategyRates Govt BondsCommoditiesOther

The report discusses the impact of political uncertainty on UK gilt yields and observes a shift toward a more balanced growth-inflation perspective at the ECB.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.UK gilt yields are experiencing upward pressure on risk premiums due to political uncertainty surrounding the transition to a new Prime Minister.
  • 2.The ECB may be moving toward a more balanced view of inflation and growth, potentially influenced by PMIs rather than purely hawkish rhetoric.

Table of Contents

  • A more balanced ECB view could increase focus on growth dynamics
  • Political uncertainty adds to risk premium in gilt yields
  • Tuesday's events and market view

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