Will Data and Central Bank Speakers Change Market Focus

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Risk-off sentiment prevails as US-Iran tensions escalate, while investors await US Core PCE data and central bank speakers to gauge the trajectory of USD and EUR/USD.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Geopolitical risks, specifically the US-Iran conflict, have triggered risk-off trading, impacting oil prices and G10 currencies.
  • 2.Market attention is shifting to US Core PCE data (expected 3.3% YoY) and multiple central bank speeches (Fed and ECB) for policy direction.
  • 3.USD/JPY is approaching the critical 160 level, raising the likelihood of further intervention by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

Table of Contents

  • Asia overnight
  • Will data and central bank speakers change market focus?
  • JPY: once again testing the MoF's patience
  • AUD: mixed data on domestic demand
  • NOK: overgrown?
  • Introducing RMA!
  • Open trade recommendations
  • Key events
  • FX Research advanced tools
  • Global Markets Research contact details

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci

Securities

USDJPYEURUSDAUD/NZDEURJPY

Themes

Geopolitical VolatilityCentral Bank Policy Divergence

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesJapanAustralia