Crédit Agricole CIB recommends selling NOK/SEK as it has reached 1.5 standard deviations overvaluation. The trade targets 0.9842 with a tight stop-loss based on the proprietary FAST FX fair value model.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The FAST FX model has triggered a short NOK/SEK trade as the pair has become more than 1.5 standard deviations overvalued.
- 2.NOK/SEK fair value has increased to 0.9842, driven by Norwegian-Swedish rate spreads and equity market performance differentials.
- 3.The trade targets a level of 0.9842 with a stop-loss of -1.21%, and is expected to close by May 15 if targets aren't met.
Table of Contents
- FAST FX: sell NOK/SEK
- Related publications
- New trades this week
- FX under/overvaluation – Z-scores
- FAST FX fair value summary
- Historical trade performance
- FX Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
- Certification
- Foreign exchange disclosure statement to clients of CACIB
- Valuation and methodology
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid Forrester
Securities
NOKSEKEURUSDUSDJPY
Themes
Quantitative FX Fair ValueMean Reversion Strategy
Regions
EuropeNorwaySweden
