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UniCredit Research Hub
Finvaulta tracks 45 research reports on UniCredit, updated through September 7, 2026. Latest: “ECB Preview: Hike a Done Deal, Mission Not Yet Accomplished”.
UniCredit research highlights a stark divergence within the Eurozone manufacturing sector, where high-tech industries have grown 30% post-pandemic while traditional segments like automotive and chemicals have declined by 7%. This industrial strain is exacerbated by a muted fiscal response to recent energy shocks, with government support measures totaling only 0.1% of GDP compared to 3% in 2022. Consequently, economic indicators remain weak, with the Eurozone composite PMI expected to fall to 48.5 as services and manufacturing both face high input costs. In equity markets, analysts observe an earnings-driven structural boom in global IT, where massive returns in the US and Emerging Markets are underpinned by robust profit growth rather than speculative bubbles. However, the surge in capital expenditure by tech giants—potentially reaching $1 trillion by 2027—has led to record euro-denominated bond issuance, prompting a recommended underweight position in corporate bond portfolios due to increased debt levels and rate sensitivity. Finally, in Central and Eastern Europe, political shifts in Hungary have led its 10Y government bonds to outperform Poland's by 30bp, as investors bet on ambitious euro adoption plans and structural reforms.
Featured reports
ECB Preview: Hike a Done Deal, Mission Not Yet Accomplished
UniCredit expects a unanimous 25bp rate hike by the ECB this Thursday to 2.50%, followed by a final 25bp hike in December to a peak of 2.75% due to persistent energy shock inflation. Market impacts will be muted, with EUR-USD likely pinned near 1.16 ahead of the September FOMC and EGB yields remaining elevated.
Coffee Break: But Remember to Come Back in September
UniCredit highlights that the second part of the market adage—'remember to come back in September'—is strongly backed by upward revisions in 2027 EPS forecasts and resilient earnings. Global equity leadership is broadening into cyclical sectors and small-to-mid caps, sustained by durable AI-related capital expenditures.
Quarterly Updates
UniCredit's quarterly report highlights the economic relief from the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the significant growth boost provided by continued AI investment. Despite persistent short-term inflation, the outlook remains cautiously constructive for equities and growth.
Coffee Break
The report highlights that global equities have demonstrated resilience in the first half of 2026, driven by positive earnings revisions. Investors are now focused on the 2Q26 earnings season as a test of this ongoing momentum.
BTP Italia Sì The New Instrument To Counter Inflation
UniCredit analyzes the launch of the BTP Italia Sì retail bond, highlighting its role as an inflation-hedging tool amid rising global geopolitical and economic risks. The report also covers the recent 25bp rate hike by the Bank of Japan.
Not All Yield Rises Are Equal For Equities
The report examines the impact of rising UST yields on equity markets, arguing that drivers like real yields and market risk sentiment are more critical than the yield rise magnitude itself. It warns that current conditions may be unfavorable for equities due to potential fiscal-driven real yield spikes.
IT Sector – It’s the Earnings, Stupid
The global IT sector rally is powered by a structural AI-fuelled earnings boom, with valuations in the US and emerging markets actually declining despite significant price gains.
Eurozone Manufacturing Faces Structural Challenges
Eurozone manufacturing is splitting between a growing high-tech sector and declining traditional industries. Escalating competition from China and high energy costs are structural headwinds threatening Europe's industrial base.
Strong EUR Covered Bond Supply in August
Eurozone Defence Spending Is Starting to Be Reflected in Manufacturing Data
Coffee Break Corporate Credit Remains Rock-Solid
All reports
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Strong EUR Covered Bond Supply in August
UniCredit · Sep 7, 2026
ECB Preview: Hike a Done Deal, Mission Not Yet Accomplished
UniCredit · Sep 7, 2026
Eurozone Defence Spending Is Starting to Be Reflected in Manufacturing Data
UniCredit · Aug 28, 2026
Coffee Break: But Remember to Come Back in September
UniCredit · Aug 25, 2026
Coffee Break Corporate Credit Remains Rock-Solid
UniCredit · Jul 2, 2026
Quarterly Updates
UniCredit · Jul 1, 2026
Coffee Break
UniCredit · Jun 29, 2026
Coffee Break
UniCredit · Jun 29, 2026
The Bottom Line
UniCredit · Jun 26, 2026
AI Boom Widens The Gap In Emerging Market Tech
UniCredit · Jun 22, 2026
Globalisation Beyond Earth
UniCredit · Jun 20, 2026
The Bottom Line
UniCredit · Jun 19, 2026
Iran Has Won So Far
UniCredit · Jun 19, 2026
Rewriting the Fed Playbook
UniCredit · Jun 18, 2026
European Bank Strength Is Becoming Hard To Ignore
UniCredit · Jun 17, 2026
EU-China Closing Gaps In Trade Defence
UniCredit · Jun 17, 2026
Greece's Recovery: Impressive, But Incomplete
UniCredit · Jun 16, 2026
BTP Italia Sì The New Instrument To Counter Inflation
UniCredit · Jun 16, 2026
IPOs: Signal, Not Driver of Markets
UniCredit · Jun 11, 2026
Coffee Break The Pricing Power Of Football
UniCredit · Jun 11, 2026
EU Bonds Where They Stand Before Final 1H26 Deal
UniCredit · Jun 9, 2026
Structural Shifts Dilute Buffett Signal
UniCredit · Jun 8, 2026
The Bottom Line
UniCredit · Jun 5, 2026
Not All Yield Rises Are Equal For Equities
UniCredit · Jun 5, 2026
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