UniCredit
June 5, 2026
The Bottom Line
Weekly UpdateRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsCommoditiesEnergy
UniCredit expects a 25bp rate hike from the ECB next week and rising US inflation driven by energy costs. Meanwhile, OPEC+ meetings and Bank of Canada policy decisions remain focal points for market participants.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The ECB is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on 11 June.
- 2.US headline CPI is projected to rise to 4.1% year-on-year in May, driven primarily by petrol prices.
- 3.OPEC+ is expected to continue incremental output increases, but supply chain issues make the market impact limited.
Table of Contents
- The Bottom Line
- ECB set to hike
- TOP STORIES OF THE UPCOMING WEEK
- OPEC+: output increases likely to remain largely symbolic
- Bank of Canada on hold with focus still on inflation and growth
- QUOTE OF THE WEEK
- WHAT WE ARE READING AND LISTENING TO
- DATA AND EVENTS CALENDAR
- FORECAST TABLES
- IN CASE YOU MISSED IT THIS WEEK
- Authors
- Editors
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Authors
Tobias KellerRoberto MialichMarco ValliDaniel Vernazza
Securities
10y OAT
Themes
Inflationary pressure from energy pricesGeopolitical impact on supply chains
Regions
EuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesCanadaIran
