This SEB chart package analyzes G10 and Asian currency valuations relative to their short-term fair values as of May 12, 2026. It highlights over- and under-valuations for major pairs like EUR/USD, EUR/SEK, and USD/JPY based on rate spreads and risk factors.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The report provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of G10 and Asian FX misvaluations relative to SEB's short-term fair value (STFV) models.
- 2.Detailed model breakdown for EUR/USD incorporates rate spread factors, risk factors, and EU peripheral spreads to determine deviation from fair value.
- 3.Valuation assessments are provided for USD, SEK, and NOK against broad currency baskets, indicating current over- or undervaluation levels.
Table of Contents
- Short-term fair values
- USD valuations
- SEK valuations
- NOK valuations
- Asian FX valuations
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Karl SteinerDana Malas
Securities
EURUSDEURSEKUSDJPY
Themes
FX Mean ReversionMacro-driven Valuations
Regions
GlobalAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesSwedenNorway
