Crédit Agricole CIB
May 19, 2026
Sell EUR KRW
FX StrategyFXEquitiesMacro Economic IndicatorsInformation TechnologyIndustrials
Crédit Agricole CIB recommends selling EUR/KRW (3M NDF) at 1,758, targeting a 5% gain at 1,670 based on superior Korean growth and a surging current account surplus driven by AI chip demand.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Recommend a short EUR/KRW 3M NDF position at 1,758 with a target of 1,670 and a stop-loss at 1,802.
- 2.South Korean macroeconomic performance is significantly stronger than the Eurozone, with GDP growth forecast at 2.6% vs 0.8% for 2026.
- 3.Korea's current account surplus is expected to jump to 12.0% of GDP in 2026, driven by global AI chip demand, while the Eurozone surplus narrows.
Table of Contents
- Relative value for KRW
- Emerging Markets Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
- Certification
- Valuation and methodology
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Eddie CheungYeon Jin Kim
Securities
EURKRWUSDKRWSamsung ElectronicsSK Hynix
Themes
AI-Driven Macro ImprovementEM FX Trade Divergence
Regions
Asia PacificEuropeMiddle EastSouth KoreaIran
