Sell EUR KRW

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Crédit Agricole CIB recommends selling EUR/KRW (3M NDF) at 1,758, targeting a 5% gain at 1,670 based on superior Korean growth and a surging current account surplus driven by AI chip demand.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Recommend a short EUR/KRW 3M NDF position at 1,758 with a target of 1,670 and a stop-loss at 1,802.
  • 2.South Korean macroeconomic performance is significantly stronger than the Eurozone, with GDP growth forecast at 2.6% vs 0.8% for 2026.
  • 3.Korea's current account surplus is expected to jump to 12.0% of GDP in 2026, driven by global AI chip demand, while the Eurozone surplus narrows.

Table of Contents

  • Relative value for KRW
  • Emerging Markets Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics
  • Global Markets Research contact details
  • Certification
  • Valuation and methodology
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Eddie CheungYeon Jin Kim

Securities

EURKRWUSDKRWSamsung ElectronicsSK Hynix

Themes

AI-Driven Macro ImprovementEM FX Trade Divergence

Regions

Asia PacificEuropeMiddle EastSouth KoreaIran