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Bank of America Research Reports

Finvaulta tracks 234 research reports on Bank of America, updated through September 4, 2026. Latest: “Zscaler: Strong Finish and Improving Organic Momentum; FY27 Guide Keeps Bar Low”.

Across recent publications, Bank of America Global Research underscores an overarching theme of extreme investor complacency and over-extended positioning, with its proprietary Bull & Bear Indicator repeatedly hitting tactical sell levels between 9.4 and 9.7. Broad optimism around a 'no-landing' economic narrative and sustained AI capital expenditures has suppressed private client cash reserves to historic lows while fueling heavy institutional inflows into Tech and Financials. However, analysts caution that fundamental and technical risks are compounding, evidenced by negative hyperscaler free cash flows, decelerating corporate buybacks, and narrowing market breadth where more than 80% of global indices register as overbought. Stretched systematic positioning poses an additional threat, with CTAs and risk-parity strategies positioned to liquidate up to $163 billion in global equities should tight stop-loss triggers be breached. Consequently, Bank of America strategists advise pivoting toward a defensive asset allocation, recommending investors reduce broad equity beta and rotate into duration, high-dividend assets, and portfolio hedges like gold and natural resources.

Featured reports

China's Zeitenwende as the US Saves Copper thumbnail

China's Zeitenwende as the US Saves Copper

Bank of America·Sep 4, 2026

The US has absorbed over 1.2Mt of refined copper due to prospective tariffs and attractive CME contango financing economics, depleting exchange inventories across the LME and China. While Chinese demand growth slowed in 2Q26, planned grid and 'Six Networks' investments are set to offset the property downturn, supporting BofA's 2027 LME cash copper target of $15,500/t.

European Equity Strategy: What If the Fed Hikes in September? thumbnail

European Equity Strategy: What If the Fed Hikes in September?

Bank of America·Sep 4, 2026

BofA Global Research reiterates a negative stance on European equities, forecasting a 10% drop in the Stoxx 600 to 580 by Q2 next year. The team advises underweighting cyclicals versus defensives, highlighting food & beverages as a key overweight and banks and capital goods as high-conviction underweights.

Global Equity Volatility Insights: Midterms Amplify Dispersion More Than Vol thumbnail

Global Equity Volatility Insights: Midterms Amplify Dispersion More Than Vol

Bank of America·Sep 2, 2026

BofA argues that the upcoming US midterm elections are more likely to drive rotation and dispersion than an aggregate index volatility spike, recommending low-cost hedges such as SPX put down-and-outs and IWM puts. Additionally, the team recommends rotating European dividend exposure from SX7E to SX5E and pivoting from long gamma to long upside in Korean equities via KOSPI call spread collars.

Systematic Flows Monitor: Stretched Treasury Shorts and Elevated Equity Longs Drive CTA Gains thumbnail

Systematic Flows Monitor: Stretched Treasury Shorts and Elevated Equity Longs Drive CTA Gains

Bank of America·Aug 28, 2026

Hawkish Jackson Hole commentary reinforced CTA short positioning in US Treasuries and maintained extended equity longs in large-cap indices. Systematic equity positioning remains vulnerable to a downside shock, where systematic strategies could sell up to $163bn globally.

The Flow Show: Investing with Pleasure thumbnail

The Flow Show: Investing with Pleasure

Bank of America·Aug 28, 2026

BofA's Bull & Bear Indicator rose to an extreme 9.7 sell signal as investors remain aggressively positioned for a 'no landing' outcome. Strategists recommend hedging policy and political risks with long positions in gold and commodities (GNR) as central banks tilt back toward rate hikes.

The Flow Show thumbnail

The Flow Show

Bank of America·Jul 17, 2026

The BofA 'Flow Show' report indicates extreme market bullishness with the Bull & Bear indicator at 9.6, prompting a 'sell' signal. It advises investors to reduce risk and rotate into defensive assets despite record inflows into technology and semiconductor themes.

Equity Client Flow Trends thumbnail

Equity Client Flow Trends

Bank of America·Jul 14, 2026

Institutional investors executed their second-largest buying week since 2008, heavily favoring Technology and Financials sectors. This activity preceded the start of the earnings season, contrasting with net selling from hedge funds.

Global Fund Manager Survey thumbnail

Global Fund Manager Survey

Bank of America·Jul 14, 2026

The July BofA Global Fund Manager Survey shows extreme investor optimism and a shift to 'no landing' economic expectations. The survey's proprietary 'Cash Rule' and 'Bull & Bear' indicators have now triggered sell signals, suggesting near-term risk for equity markets.

Zscaler: Strong Finish and Improving Organic Momentum; FY27 Guide Keeps Bar Low

Bank of America·Sep 4, 2026

US Economic Weekly: In the Interest of Time

Bank of America·Sep 4, 2026

Reverse Chemical Reaction? Petchem Recovery Offers Limited Benefits to Big Oils

Bank of America·Sep 4, 2026

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