Bank of America
June 4, 2026
Mexico Stability Holds Growth Lags
Macro ThematicMacro Economic IndicatorsFXRates Govt BondsOther
Mexico maintains strong macro stability and small deficits, but faces a structural 'productivity crisis' that has stunted growth.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Macro stability remains a key asset with no clear imbalances, though growth has been persistently weak due to productivity constraints.
- 2.The current administration has prioritized growth, but if weakness persists, it could lead to fiscal imbalances over time.
- 3.Mexico faces a structural productivity crisis, with total factor productivity declining significantly since 2018 relative to the US.
Table of Contents
- Key takeaways
- Mexico – Stability holds, growth lags
- The growth challenge
- Stability is an asset
- Special Disclosures
- Disclosures
- Research Analysts
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Authors
Carlos CapistranDavid HaunerClaudio Irigoyen
Securities
USDMXNMexico Sovereign Debt
Themes
Productivity CrisisInvestment Grade RiskUSMCA Review
Regions
Latin AmericaNorth AmericaMexicoUnited StatesBrazil
