Week Ahead

This report details the economic data agenda for the week of June 22, 2026, focusing on central bank policy, PMI surveys, and core inflation measures. Market observers are closely watching the US-Iran geopolitical impact on pricing and the Riksbank's stance following its recent minutes.

Key Takeaways

• 1.Central banks and inflation data are the primary focus for the upcoming week, with US core PCE, PMI releases, and Riksbank minutes anticipated.
• 2.Recent US-Iran deal developments and commodity price fluctuations (notably oil) are impacting central bank risk assessments and inflation expectations.
• 3.Economic sentiment remains soft in Europe, with German and French data pointing to continued structural weakness and geopolitical sensitivity.

Table of Contents

• Another busy week with data in focus
• Forecasts & publications
• Snapshots of our forecasts as of 18 June:
• Recent publications from Strategy & Economic Research:
• Downsides risks to rate path given lower oil prices?
• The gap between core PCE and CPI is a headache for the Fed
• Key Economic Indicators & Events: 22 – 28 June, 2026
• FRA/GER: Ifo and Insee (Jun)
• Euro area: PMI, flash (Jun)
• US: S&P PMI (June, prel)
• SWE: Riksbank minutes (June 17)
• GER/FRA: Consumer confidence (Jul/Jun)
• US: Core PCE (May)
• SWE: PPI (May)
• NOR: Retail sales (May)
• SWE: Consumer confidence (June)
• SWE: NIER business survey (June)
• Disclaimer

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