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MUFG

June 25, 2026

Asia FX Talk

FX StrategyFXRates Govt BondsOther

The US dollar continues to benefit from resilient economic data and elevated rate expectations, pressuring Asian currencies. USDJPY remains near 2024 highs, prompting a cautious outlook regarding further upside.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US rate cuts remain unlikely near-term due to sticky PCE inflation and resilient labour market conditions.
  • 2.USDJPY is trading near 2024 highs, though downside protection is advised due to the risk of Japanese policy intervention.
  • 3.The Bank of Thailand maintains a growth-supportive, accommodative stance, but regional currencies face headwinds from elevated US yields.

Table of Contents

  • Market Highlights
  • Ahead Today
  • INDICATIVE RATES 24-Jun-2026

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Authors

Lloyd Chan

Securities

USDJPYUS 2-Year Treasury

Themes

USD StrengthMonetary Policy Divergence

Regions

Asia PacificUnited StatesJapanThailand