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MUFG

June 25, 2026

FX Daily Snapshot

Daily UpdateFXEquitiesRates Govt BondsInformation Technology

The US dollar holds near year-to-date highs ahead of the May PCE deflator release. Meanwhile, strong earnings from Micron Technology have buoyed sentiment in the AI and technology sectors.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US dollar remains strong near year-to-date highs as the market awaits critical US PCE inflation data.
  • 2.Micron Technology reported strong earnings, boosting investor sentiment in the AI/tech sector and helping South Korean stocks rebound.
  • 3.The US rate market is pricing in more rate hikes this year, contrary to the expectation that the Fed might avoid tightening further despite 'tough talk'.

Table of Contents

  • USD remains close to year-to-date high ahead of latest US inflation update
  • USD: Fed policy reaction function & AI stock performance in focus
  • IS USD ANTICIPATING A BIGGER FED POLICY SHIFT OR OVERSHOOTING?
  • USD: How FX reacts to PCE surprises
  • USD/JPY PERFORMANCE AFTER US CORE PCE DEFLATOR RELEASES
  • KEY RELEASES AND EVENTS

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Authors

Lee HardmanAbdul-Ahad Lockhart

Securities

USDJPYMicron TechnologyEURUSD

Themes

AI infrastructure build outInflation persistence

Regions

GlobalUnited StatesSouth Korea