ING Bank N.V.
July 13, 2026
The Commodities Feed: The Battle Over Hormuz Lifts Oil Prices
Daily UpdateCommoditiesEnergy
Geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf have driven oil prices higher, while speculators remain cautious in the crude market. Simultaneously, agricultural supply estimates have tightened following the latest USDA report.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Escalating tensions in the Persian Gulf and the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed oil prices up by approximately 4%.
- 2.Speculators are showing reluctance to take large positions in crude oil, while simultaneously increasing bullish bets on middle distillates due to Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries.
- 3.The USDA's latest WASDE report revised down global ending stock estimates for corn and wheat, reflecting a tighter supply outlook.
Table of Contents
- Energy - Speculators remain wary about jumping into oil market
- Agriculture – USDA lowers global grain ending stock estimates
- Author
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Warren PattersonEwa Manthey
Securities
ICE BrentICE gasoil
Themes
Agricultural Commodity SupplyEnergy Supply SecurityGeopolitical Risk
Regions
Middle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranRussia
