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Goldman Sachs

June 24, 2026

GS Morning Market Update

Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsOther

This report covers the Hungarian central bank's rate cut, analysis of current GBP market flows, and the outlook for Australian interest rates following inflation data.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) cut policy rates by 25bp to 6.00%, signaling a dovish stance for further cuts.
  • 2.Current GBP strength is driven by a short squeeze rather than fundamental long-term value, as the currency remains overvalued.
  • 3.Australia's trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.6% yoy, leading Goldman Sachs to forecast a 25bp rate hike in August.

Table of Contents

  • FX Trader Call Today
  • NBH Recap
  • GBP: Short Squeeze Not Fundamental Long
  • AUS ECON (BOAK) – Australia CPI: Inflation Well Above Target

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Authors

Dom WilsonPrateek MookerjeeEren Ozer

Securities

GBPHUF

Themes

Central Bank Policy DivergenceInflation Dynamics

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificHungaryUnited KingdomAustralia