Goldman Sachs logo
Goldman Sachs

June 23, 2026

Marketcolour And Flows

Daily UpdateEquitiesRates Govt BondsRates CreditInformation TechnologyConsumer Discretionary

The report highlights a reduction in 12-month US recession risk to 15% alongside shifting market dynamics where semiconductor strength offsets tech sector weakness. Buyback activity remains low due to the Q2 earnings blackout period.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.US recession risk estimate cut from 25% to 15% due to improved energy prices and US-Iran agreement.
  • 2.Corporate buyback activity is constrained by the Q2 earnings blackout period, affecting roughly 65% of issuers.
  • 3.Equity market rotation observed with broad-based strength in semiconductors offsetting weakness in Megacap tech.

Table of Contents

  • Marketcolour + Flows
  • Interesting
  • Interesting 2
  • Flow
  • CTAs
  • Buybacks
  • Global Macro
  • Cross-Asset
  • Global Consumer
  • Brenntag
  • DSV
  • US Hardware / Industry Primer

Document Preview

Page 1 of 3
Page 1 of Marketcolour And Flows
Subscribe for full access

Access the Full Report

Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.

Authors

Ioannis Blekos

Securities

NFLXGOOGLSMCIBNRGn.DEDSV

Themes

US Recession RiskCorporate Buyback BlackoutSemiconductor Rotation

Regions

GlobalEuropeUnited StatesChinaUnited Kingdom