Fundamental Guide To Emerging Markets

Market ReportEquitiesRates Govt BondsFXInformation TechnologyEnergy

A comprehensive May 2026 outlook for major emerging markets, highlighting Taiwan's semiconductor-led boom and China's tech-focused industrial policy amid global oil price volatility.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Taiwan's semiconductor exports are turbocharging growth, with a 2026 forecast of 7% GDP growth despite energy disruption risks.
  • 2.China's 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP) underscores a strategic pivot toward tech dominance, hardware dominance, and advanced manufacturing.
  • 3.India faces significant inflation pressure with CPI expected to breach the 6% threshold by 3Q/FY27, likely compelling the RBI to hike rates by end-2026.

Table of Contents

  • Growth drivers
  • Relative score for short-term growth
  • Relative score for long-term growth
  • China
  • Taiwan
  • South Korea
  • Brazil
  • India
  • Mexico
  • Forecasts
  • EM Asset Allocation
  • Central Bank Watch
  • Key points – May 2026
  • Authors

Document Preview

Page 1 of 5
Page 1 of Fundamental Guide To Emerging Markets
Subscribe for full access

Access the Full Report

Get unlimited access to institutional research reports with a 14-day free trial.

Authors

Rory GreenElizabeth JohnsonShumita DeveshwarGrace FanRobert Taylor

Securities

CNYINRBRLKRW

Themes

AI and Semiconductor HegemonyIran War Shocks & Geopolitical RiskGlobal Protectionism & Tariff Impacts

Regions

Asia PacificLatin AmericaChinaTaiwanSouth Korea