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GlobalData TS Lombard Research Hub

Explore deep-dive macroeconomic and geopolitical analysis from GlobalData TS Lombard. This hub provides access to 26 expert research reports covering critical themes like bond market volatility, electoral risks, and global currency trends.

26 reports available

Can Trump Defy Electoral Gravity thumbnail

Can Trump Defy Electoral Gravity

GlobalData TS Lombard

This report analyzes the electoral outlook for the 2026 US midterms, balancing Trump's record-low approval ratings against his structural advantages in funding, judicial influence, and election-security narratives. It warns that a close election outcome could trigger significant financial market volatility.

Upturn in Profits About to Boost Hiring thumbnail

Upturn in Profits About to Boost Hiring

GlobalData TS Lombard

A reacceleration in corporate profits is set to trigger a hiring surge this summer, which will likely push inflation toward 3% by 2027. While equity markets appear to be topping, the real economy is expected to remain resilient as capital reallocates from financial to real assets.

Productivity Needs Equities Warsh Does Too thumbnail

Productivity Needs Equities Warsh Does Too

GlobalData TS Lombard

The report argues that high equity valuations are critical for driving corporate productivity growth. Consequently, the Fed is incentivized to maintain liquidity and support market prices to avoid a crash during a period of economic transition.

The Problem with Bonds thumbnail

The Problem with Bonds

GlobalData TS Lombard

The report argues that structural shifts including tight labor markets, volatile inflation, and geopolitical risks have undermined the traditional role of bonds as a portfolio diversifier. It recommends shifting toward alternative assets like commodities and macro hedge funds to hedge equity risk.

The Dollar Paradox thumbnail

The Dollar Paradox

GlobalData TS Lombard

Despite superior US economic growth and labor market data, the USD remains flat because investors expect a quick resolution to the Strait of Hormuz closure. This creates a 'Dollar Paradox' where pricing must eventually adjust if the geopolitical gridlock continues.

The Big AI Capex Debate thumbnail

The Big AI Capex Debate

GlobalData TS Lombard

While AI capex has reached historic levels and boosted tech stocks, 85% of industry revenue is currently derived from circular financing within the AI ecosystem. The long-term sustainability of this boom depends on genuine productivity gains realized by external sectors, which are not yet evident.

Strategy Chartbook

GlobalData TS Lombard

Warsh No Hike in June Is a Rate Cut

GlobalData TS Lombard

Firms Turn To Spend On Payrolls: A Hint Of Ai's Impact In The Data

GlobalData TS Lombard

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  • Can Trump Defy Electoral Gravity

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Upturn in Profits About to Boost Hiring

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Productivity Needs Equities Warsh Does Too

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • The Problem with Bonds

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • The Dollar Paradox

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • The Big AI Capex Debate

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Strategy Chartbook

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Warsh No Hike in June Is a Rate Cut

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Firms Turn To Spend On Payrolls: A Hint Of Ai's Impact In The Data

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Firms Turn To Spend On Payrolls: A Hint Of AI's Impact In The Data

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • Firms Turn To Spend On Payrolls A Hint Of AI's Impact In The Data

    GlobalData TS Lombard

  • War RAG and Term Premium

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  • Equity Markets and Presidential Popularity

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  • IPO Boom and Market Top

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  • What Can Markets Look Through To

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  • UK CPI Ofgem Caps Hawkish Expectations

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  • Yen Mega Rally Only After TACO

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  • Yen Mega Rally Only After Taco

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  • Staying Cautiously Risk On

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  • Locals Still Buying But Returns Now Capped

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  • The Missing Wealth Behind High UK Savings

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  • Fundamental Guide To Emerging Markets

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  • Is the UK the Harbinger of Things to Come

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  • A Beijing Accord

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