A Beijing Accord

Macro ThematicFXEquitiesCommoditiesInformation TechnologyEnergy

The upcoming Trump-Xi summit aims to stabilize US-China relations through a potential 'Beijing Accord' involving RMB appreciation and concessions on tech and Taiwan.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.An upcoming summit between Presidents Trump and Xi is expected to stabilize US-China relations and add conviction to long China trades.
  • 2.A 'Beijing Accord' may involve a commitment for RMB appreciation, with USDCNY potentially reaching the 5.x range.
  • 3.Taiwan is a top priority for Beijing, and concessions from Washington could include slowing weapons sales or reaffirming 'One China' policy.

Table of Contents

  • China Watch
  • A BEIJING ACCORD
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Rory Green

Securities

USDCNYNVDABAUS TreasuriesUSDJPY

Themes

US-China Geopolitical ThawRMB Internationalization and AppreciationStrategic Concessions on Taiwan and Technology

Regions

Asia PacificNorth AmericaMiddle EastChinaUnited StatesTaiwan