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Danske Bank

May 10, 2026

Weekly Focus

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsEnergyHealth Care

Markets reacted to a potential truce between the US and Iran that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, driving oil prices down to $100/bbl. Meanwhile, Norges Bank hiked rates to 4.25%, and Sweden saw a surprise drop in core inflation to 0%.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Potential de-escalation in the US-Iran war and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a significant drop in oil prices from $115 to $100/bbl.
  • 2.Norges Bank hiked its policy rate by 25 bp to 4.25%, citing uncertainty in the Middle East and stronger-than-expected price impulses from abroad.
  • 3.Sweden experienced a sharp downside surprise in April inflation, with core inflation hitting 0% and CPIF falling to 0.8% y/y.

Table of Contents

  • Higher hopes of Hormuz harmony
  • Key global views
  • Key market movers
  • Selected reading from Danske Bank
  • Market Movers Scandinavia
  • Scandi Update
  • Norway – Norges Bank hiked by 25 bp
  • Calendar – 11-15 May 2026
  • Calendar – 18-22 May 2026
  • Macroeconomic forecast
  • Financial forecast
  • Disclosures

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Authors

Rune Thyge Johansen

Securities

Brent Crude OilNorges Bank Policy RateEURDKK

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationCentral Bank Divergence

Regions

North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesIranNorway