China's economy displays a two-speed growth pattern driven by strong tech and exports despite domestic housing and consumer weakness. The country is shifting from a deflationary to an inflationary influence as energy and producer prices rise.
Key Takeaways
- 1.China's economy remains a 'two-speed' system with weak consumer demand but robust exports and tech investment.
- 2.China has transitioned from a global deflationary force to an inflationary one as producer prices rise.
- 3.GDP growth is forecast at 4.8% for 2026 and 4.7% for 2027, with the housing market expected to hit bottom in 2026.
Table of Contents
- Navigating through new headwinds
- Impact from Iran war starting to show
- Headways in technology, competition to intensify
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Authors
Allan von Mehren
Securities
7-day Reverse Repo Rate
Themes
Economic Stimulus and Growth TargetsInflationary ShiftTech Self-Reliance
Regions
Asia PacificEuropean Union
