The ECB hiked rates by 25bp to 2.25% in June, maintaining a hawkish outlook to combat inflation risks. Danske Bank now anticipates a second hike in September.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The ECB hiked policy rates by 25bp, bringing the deposit rate to 2.25%, citing inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict.
- 2.Danske Bank expects a second rate hike in September rather than July due to disappointing recent growth data.
Table of Contents
- ECB Review
- New staff projections were revised more hawkishly than we expected
- Markets price only 25% chance of hike in July
- Disclosures
- Analyst certification
- Regulation
- Conflicts of interest
- Financial models and/or methodology used in this research report
- Risk warning
- Expected updates
- Date of first publication
- General disclaimer
- Disclaimer related to distribution in the United States
- Disclaimer related to distribution in the United Kingdom
- Disclaimer related to distribution in the European Economic Area
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Authors
Rune Thyge JohansenKirstine Kundby-Nielsen
Securities
Euro Short-Term Rate
Themes
Inflationary PressureHawkish Monetary Policy
Regions
EuropeMiddle EastIrelandIran
