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Danske Bank

February 13, 2026

Weekly Focus

Weekly UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesFXConsumer DiscretionaryEnergy

The report highlights a recovering US labor market and a landslide election victory in Japan, while addressing surprising inflation spikes in Scandinavia that may delay rate cuts.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The US labor market showed unexpected strength in January with a gain of 130k jobs, reducing the likelihood of a March Fed rate cut.
  • 2.Norway's core inflation surprised on the upside (3.4%), likely delaying anticipated rate cuts until September.
  • 3.Japan's election resulted in a landslide victory for Sanae Takaichi, fueling Japanese stock gains due to her expansionary fiscal agenda.

Table of Contents

  • US job market finally recovers
  • Key global views
  • Key market movers
  • Selected reading from Danske Bank
  • Market Movers Scandinavia
  • Scandi Update
  • Calendar – 16-20 February 2026
  • Macroeconomic forecast
  • Financial forecast
  • Disclosures

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Authors

Allan von Mehren

Securities

US TreasuriesICE BrentJPY

Themes

Geopolitical RiskLabor Market ResilienceMonetary Policy Delay

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificEuropeUnited StatesJapanChina