GBP Politics and Policy

Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsMacro Economic IndicatorsOther

The report analyzes the consolidation of the GBP amid easing UK political tensions and provides updates on RBA and BoC policy outlooks.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The GBP has stabilized as UK political drama subsides and key leadership candidates signal respect for existing fiscal commitments.
  • 2.The RBA is likely to skip a rate hike in June, despite hawkish rhetoric regarding asymmetric inflation risks, as financial conditions are deemed restrictive.
  • 3.Canadian CPI is expected to rise in April due to base effects, but cooling core inflation suggests the BoC is unlikely to tighten in the near term.

Table of Contents

  • Asia overnight
  • GBP: politics and policy
  • AUD: RBA balancing asymmetric risks
  • CAD: no so fast
  • Open trade recommendations
  • Key events
  • FX Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci

Securities

GBPAUDUSDUSD/CADNOK/SEKEURJPY

Themes

Central Bank Policy DivergenceGeopolitical Risk Sensitivity

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificNorth AmericaUnited KingdomAustraliaCanada