USD Enduring Appeal

Weekly UpdateFXEquitiesCommoditiesEnergyInformation Technology

The report highlights the enduring appeal of the USD despite the recent de-escalation of US-Iran tensions. It maintains a bearish stance on EUR/USD citing growth and yield differentials.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The signing of a US-Iran MoU to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has reduced safe-haven demand for the USD and energy price pressures, though geopolitical risks remain.
  • 2.Despite near-term volatility, the firm maintains a bearish outlook on EUR/USD due to growth differentials and yield spreads favoring the USD.

Table of Contents

  • USD: enduring appeal
  • FX and gold outlook
  • G10 FX Portfolio
  • FX Focus
  • 60 days to save the world
  • Week ahead: key themes & trades

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci

Securities

EURUSDUSDJPY

Themes

Geopolitical De-escalationHawkish Central Bank Policy

Regions

GlobalMiddle EastEuropeUnited StatesIranJapan