GBP: Burnham down the House

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This report examines the negative implications of a potential Andrew Burnham premiership on the British Pound, while highlighting recent hawkish signals from the Bank of England.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.A potential leadership victory for Andrew Burnham in the Labour Party could be the most damaging outcome for GBP due to his economic and fiscal policy agenda.
  • 2.The Bank of England's recent policy meeting was surprisingly hawkish, with MPC members Megan Greene and Huw Pill dissenting in favour of an imminent rate hike.
  • 3.Japan's Ministry of Finance is actively using verbal intervention to warn against speculative FX moves on the JPY, potentially limiting carry trade appeal for USD/JPY.

Table of Contents

  • Asia overnight
  • GBP: Burnham down the House
  • JPY: on intervention watch
  • Latest publications
  • Introducing RMA!
  • Open trade recommendations
  • Key events
  • FX Research advanced tools
  • Red Mount Analytics

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Authors

Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci

Securities

S&P 500Brent Crude Oil

Themes

Political RiskCentral Bank PolicyFX Intervention

Regions

Asia PacificMiddle EastUnited KingdomJapanUnited States