Crédit Agricole CIB
May 25, 2026
USD: Another Reason to Smile
Daily UpdateFXMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsFinancials
The USD remains strong due to widening rate spreads and hawkish Fed sentiment, despite tentative signs of a US-Iran ceasefire deal boosting risk appetite. Markets are focused on upcoming US PCE inflation data and RBA rate hike prospects.
Key Takeaways
- 1.The USD is currently driven by relative interest rate spreads and hawkish Fed expectations rather than solely safe-haven flows.
- 2.Optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is fostering 'risk-on' sentiment in global markets.
- 3.AUD/USD is buoyed by risk appetite and high domestic inflation, but further RBA hikes may be delayed if cyclical data continues to weaken.
Table of Contents
- Asia overnight
- Deal or no deal?
- USD: another reason to smile
- AUD: helped by the hope of a deal
- Introducing RMA!
- FX Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci
Securities
SPXAUDUSDAUDNZDEURJPY
Themes
USD Smile Theory EvolutionGeopolitical De-escalation
Regions
North AmericaMiddle EastAsia PacificUnited StatesIranAustralia
