Crédit Agricole CIB
June 22, 2026
Gbp Back To The Future
Daily UpdateFXRates Govt BondsEquitiesInformation TechnologyEnergy
The report highlights risks to the GBP from a potential UK leadership contest while noting that EUR/USD remains depressed due to hawkish Fed expectations. It also signals potential near-term moderation for USD/CAD following technical overbought signals.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Potential resignation of PM Keir Starmer and a leadership contest in the UK create downside risk for the GBP.
- 2.FX investors are prioritizing hawkish Fed policy over geopolitical stabilization in the Middle East, weighing on EUR/USD.
- 3.USD/CAD technicals show extreme overbought conditions (14-day RSI), suggesting potential for near-term spot moderation.
Table of Contents
- GBP: back to the future
- Asia overnight
- EUR/USD: rate differential matters more than risk sentiment
- CAD: fighting this deflated feeling
- Open trade recommendations
- Key events
- FX Research advanced tools
- Red Mount Analytics
- Global Markets Research contact details
- Certification
- Disclaimer
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Authors
Valentin MarinovDavid ForresterAlexandre Dolci
Securities
USDJPYEURUSDUSD/CAD
Themes
Political instability in the UKHawkish Fed policy divergenceGeopolitical risk in Middle East
Regions
North AmericaEuropeMiddle EastUnited StatesUKCanada
