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May 10, 2026

Trump and Xi Seek to Steady Volatile Relationship

Weekly UpdateMacro Economic IndicatorsRates Govt BondsCommoditiesEnergyInformation Technology

The report previews the upcoming US-China summit in Beijing and predicts a significant spike in April US CPI inflation driven by energy costs.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The upcoming US-China summit (14-15 May) in Beijing is expected to produce a 'controlled détente' rather than a major breakthrough, focusing on managing trade and security risks.
  • 2.US April CPI inflation is projected to rise sharply to 3.6% YoY, driven primarily by a 12% monthly surge in gasoline prices.
  • 3.Core US inflation is also expected to rebound to 0.3% MoM in April as supply chain disruptions and higher jet fuel costs impact airfares and core goods.

Table of Contents

  • TOP STORIES OF THE UPCOMING WEEK
  • US CPI inflation to rise sharply again
  • QUOTE OF THE WEEK*
  • WHAT WE ARE READING
  • DATA AND EVENTS CALENDAR
  • FORECAST TABLES
  • IN CASE YOU MISSED IT THIS WEEK
  • Authors
  • Editors
  • Legal Notices

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Authors

Andreas ReesDaniel Vernazza

Securities

30Y US TreasuryXAU

Themes

US-China Geopolitical TensionStagflationary PressuresAI Investment Boom

Regions

North AmericaAsia PacificMiddle EastUnited StatesChinaGermany