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June 19, 2026

The Bottom Line

Weekly UpdateRates Govt BondsEquitiesFXEnergyFinancials

This report highlights an expected uptick in eurozone growth signals, alongside a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve policy expectations. It also forecasts a shift in Hungarian central bank policy and provides updates on US and eurozone financial indicators.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Eurozone PMIs are expected to show improvement due to easing energy prices and uncertainty.
  • 2.US core PCE inflation is forecasted to accelerate, prompting a hawkish stance from the Fed.
  • 3.The NBH is expected to initiate a rate-cutting cycle despite regional peer divergence.

Table of Contents

  • TOP STORIES OF THE UPCOMING WEEK
  • VIEW UPDATE: NEW UST AND USD FORECASTS; REVISED BTP-BUND SPREAD
  • WHAT WE ARE READING
  • DATA AND EVENTS CALENDAR
  • FORECAST TABLES
  • IN CASE YOU MISSED IT THIS WEEK
  • Authors
  • Editors
  • UniCredit S.p.A.

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Authors

Tullia BuccoEszter GárgyánMauro Giorgio MarranoRoberto MialichAndreas ReesChristian StockerMarco Valli

Securities

SXXP2Y US Treasury

Themes

Inflationary pressureGeopolitical impact on energy

Regions

EuropeUnited StatesChinaHungary