UniCredit
June 16, 2026
Greece's Recovery: Impressive, But Incomplete
Macro ThematicEquitiesRates Govt BondsReal EstateOther
Greece has achieved a strong economic rebound since its bailout exit, yet GDP per capita convergence remains stalled. Success now depends on shifting investment toward higher-productivity sectors and completing structural reforms.
Key Takeaways
- 1.Greece has seen a robust GDP rebound since 2018, outperforming the Eurozone, largely driven by RRF-funded investment.
- 2.Income convergence with the European average remains limited due to stagnant labour productivity and weak capital deepening.
- 3.Structural barriers, including small firm size, reliance on labour-intensive sectors, and inefficient capital reallocation, constrain growth.
Table of Contents
- Greece's recovery: impressive, but incomplete
- Strong GDP growth recovery...
- ...but limited progress in income convergence
- Structural gaps persist
- Completing the reform agenda
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Authors
Tullia BuccoEdoardo Campanella
Securities
Greek 10-year Government Bond
Themes
Economic ConvergenceStructural ReformProductivity Challenges
Regions
EuropeGreece
