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UBS

June 29, 2026

Will Higher Yields Derail Bond Investing

Market ReportRates CreditRates Govt BondsOther

UBS believes the recent bond market sell-off is overdone and offers an attractive entry point for high-quality, short- to medium-duration bonds. They anticipate government yields will drift lower as markets adjust expectations for central bank policy tightening.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The recent sell-off in global bond markets offers an opportunity to lock in attractive yields, particularly in short- and medium-maturity quality bonds.
  • 2.Markets appear to be overpricing the extent of future central bank policy tightening.
  • 3.Emerging market bonds are favored as part of a diversified income strategy due to solid fundamentals.

Table of Contents

  • Key message
  • Government bond yields rose in the first half of 2026.
  • We believe the sell-off in bond markets creates an investment opportunity.
  • So, we see opportunities to lock in yields.
  • New this week
  • One liner
  • Did you know?
  • Investment view
  • Non-Traditional Assets
  • Disclaimer

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Authors

Leslie FalconioFrederick MellorsTom NashMatthew Carter

Securities

US 10-Year Treasury

Themes

Fixed Income StrategyMonetary Policy Normalization

Regions

GlobalEuropeUnited StatesGermanyUK