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June 29, 2026

Oil's Path Is Not A One-Way Strait

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsEnergyUtilities

UBS provides an update on oil market dynamics following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and analyzes the economic impact of the record-breaking European heatwave.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.The recent decline in oil prices is expected to reverse as market normalization through the Strait of Hormuz will be slower than current price action suggests.
  • 2.Europe's record June heatwave highlights the long-term investment case for climate adaptation, infrastructure, and energy efficiency.

Table of Contents

  • From Circle One
  • What to watch: 29 June
  • Thought of the day
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update
  • Global asset class preferences definitions
  • Appendix

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Authors

Mark HaefeleGiovanni StaunovoDaisy TsengThemis ThemistocleousJon GordonElena Cecamore

Securities

Brent Crude Oil

Themes

Climate AdaptationEnergy Security

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesIranFrance