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June 29, 2026

Monitoring AI Risks Amid Volatility

Daily UpdateCommoditiesEquitiesRates Govt BondsEnergyInformation Technology

Global equity markets are experiencing volatility as investors weigh the sustainability of heavy AI capital expenditures against strong demand fundamentals. UBS maintains a long-term positive outlook on AI but advises diversifying into defensive sectors and other structural trends.

Key Takeaways

  • 1.Global equities faced volatility due to concerns regarding the sustainability of AI capex growth.
  • 2.Despite recent volatility and increased hyperscaler capex risks, the medium-term demand story for AI remains intact.
  • 3.Heatwaves in Europe have strained power grids and infrastructure, reinforcing the long-term case for investment in climate adaptation and electrification.

Table of Contents

  • From the studio
  • Thought of the day
  • What to watch: 30 June
  • Caught our attention
  • Market update
  • Appendix

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Authors

Ulrike Hoffmann-BurchardiMark Haefele

Securities

MSFTMETAMU

Themes

AI Infrastructure CapexEnergy Infrastructure / Climate Adaptation

Regions

EuropeAsia PacificUnited StatesChinaGermany